I took a quick look at the prediction performance by team. Here are the top 15 teams the predictions have been most accurate straight-up:
| Team | Pct |
|---|---|
| Marshall | 1.000 |
| Memphis | 1.000 |
| Mississippi State | 1.000 |
| Ole Miss | 1.000 |
| Clemson | 1.000 |
| Southern California | 0.900 |
| Fresno State | 0.900 |
| Stanford | 0.900 |
| UTEP | 0.900 |
| Massachusetts | 0.900 |
| Alabama | 0.900 |
| Michigan | 0.900 |
| Idaho | 0.889 |
| Colorado State | 0.889 |
| Kansas State | 0.889 |
So the predictions have picked the winners in every game involving Marshall, Memphis, Miss St, Ole Miss, and Clemson.
Here’s a look at the top 15 most accurate against-the-spread:
| Team | Pct |
|---|---|
| Idaho | 1.000 |
| Colorado State | 0.875 |
| Kansas State | 0.875 |
| Northern Illinois | 0.875 |
| Virginia | 0.875 |
| Cincinnati | 0.857 |
| Boise State | 0.800 |
| San Diego State | 0.800 |
| Southern California | 0.778 |
| Indiana | 0.778 |
| Northwestern | 0.778 |
| Syracuse | 0.778 |
| Kansas | 0.750 |
| Hawaii | 0.750 |
| Rutgers | 0.750 |
So the predictions have been 100% accurate against the spread for games involving just Idaho.
I don’t see any pattern to this, but I figured it might be interesting data to look at. Below the break is a breakdown of the accurage of all FBS teams.
| Team | Straight-up | ATS |
|---|---|---|
| Marshall | 1.000 | 0.625 |
| Memphis | 1.000 | 0.556 |
| Mississippi State | 1.000 | 0.556 |
| Ole Miss | 1.000 | 0.500 |
| Clemson | 1.000 | 0.375 |
| Southern California | 0.900 | 0.778 |
| Fresno State | 0.900 | 0.600 |
| Stanford | 0.900 | 0.556 |
| UTEP | 0.900 | 0.556 |
| Massachusetts | 0.900 | 0.500 |
| Alabama | 0.900 | 0.400 |
| Michigan | 0.900 | 0.400 |
| Idaho | 0.889 | 1.000 |
| Colorado State | 0.889 | 0.875 |
| Kansas State | 0.889 | 0.875 |
| Northern Illinois | 0.889 | 0.875 |
| Indiana | 0.889 | 0.778 |
| Kansas | 0.889 | 0.750 |
| Central Michigan | 0.889 | 0.667 |
| Oregon | 0.889 | 0.667 |
| Washington State | 0.889 | 0.667 |
| Vanderbilt | 0.889 | 0.625 |
| Illinois | 0.889 | 0.556 |
| Wyoming | 0.889 | 0.556 |
| Alabama-Birmingham | 0.889 | 0.444 |
| Colorado | 0.889 | 0.444 |
| South Alabama | 0.889 | 0.444 |
| Hawaii | 0.875 | 0.750 |
| Rutgers | 0.875 | 0.750 |
| West Virginia | 0.875 | 0.750 |
| Baylor | 0.875 | 0.500 |
| Florida State | 0.875 | 0.375 |
| South Carolina | 0.800 | 0.700 |
| Louisiana Tech | 0.800 | 0.667 |
| Central Florida | 0.800 | 0.600 |
| Georgia | 0.800 | 0.600 |
| Kentucky | 0.800 | 0.600 |
| Auburn | 0.800 | 0.556 |
| Notre Dame | 0.800 | 0.500 |
| Southern Mississippi | 0.800 | 0.500 |
| Florida International | 0.800 | 0.400 |
| Tulane | 0.800 | 0.222 |
| Virginia | 0.778 | 0.875 |
| Bowling Green | 0.778 | 0.667 |
| TCU | 0.778 | 0.667 |
| Wake Forest | 0.778 | 0.667 |
| Eastern Michigan | 0.778 | 0.625 |
| Arkansas State | 0.778 | 0.556 |
| Boston College | 0.778 | 0.556 |
| East Carolina | 0.778 | 0.556 |
| New Mexico State | 0.778 | 0.556 |
| Tulsa | 0.778 | 0.556 |
| Miami (OH) | 0.778 | 0.500 |
| Buffalo | 0.778 | 0.375 |
| North Texas | 0.778 | 0.333 |
| Utah State | 0.778 | 0.333 |
| Florida Atlantic | 0.778 | 0.222 |
| Ohio | 0.778 | 0.222 |
| Texas State | 0.750 | 0.625 |
| Oklahoma State | 0.750 | 0.500 |
| Cincinnati | 0.714 | 0.857 |
| Boise State | 0.700 | 0.800 |
| Ohio State | 0.700 | 0.600 |
| Penn State | 0.700 | 0.600 |
| California | 0.700 | 0.500 |
| Houston | 0.700 | 0.500 |
| New Mexico | 0.700 | 0.500 |
| Texas | 0.700 | 0.400 |
| Troy | 0.700 | 0.400 |
| UNLV | 0.700 | 0.375 |
| Rice | 0.700 | 0.333 |
| Akron | 0.700 | 0.300 |
| Northwestern | 0.667 | 0.778 |
| Syracuse | 0.667 | 0.778 |
| Arkansas | 0.667 | 0.667 |
| Kent State | 0.667 | 0.667 |
| Navy | 0.667 | 0.667 |
| Duke | 0.667 | 0.556 |
| Texas Tech | 0.667 | 0.556 |
| Utah | 0.667 | 0.556 |
| Army | 0.667 | 0.500 |
| Texas-San Antonio | 0.667 | 0.500 |
| Brigham Young | 0.667 | 0.444 |
| Maryland | 0.667 | 0.444 |
| San Jose State | 0.667 | 0.444 |
| Tennessee | 0.667 | 0.444 |
| Virginia Tech | 0.667 | 0.444 |
| LSU | 0.667 | 0.375 |
| Southern Methodist | 0.667 | 0.375 |
| Louisville | 0.667 | 0.333 |
| Iowa State | 0.667 | 0.250 |
| Miami (FL) | 0.667 | 0.250 |
| Wisconsin | 0.667 | 0.111 |
| Pittsburgh | 0.625 | 0.750 |
| South Florida | 0.625 | 0.750 |
| Middle Tennessee State | 0.625 | 0.625 |
| Temple | 0.625 | 0.625 |
| Oklahoma | 0.625 | 0.500 |
| Louisiana-Lafayette | 0.625 | 0.375 |
| San Diego State | 0.600 | 0.800 |
| Michigan State | 0.600 | 0.700 |
| Louisiana-Monroe | 0.600 | 0.300 |
| Western Kentucky | 0.556 | 0.667 |
| Air Force | 0.556 | 0.556 |
| North Carolina | 0.556 | 0.556 |
| Arizona State | 0.556 | 0.500 |
| Purdue | 0.556 | 0.500 |
| Minnesota | 0.556 | 0.444 |
| Texas A&M | 0.556 | 0.444 |
| Toledo | 0.556 | 0.444 |
| Arizona | 0.556 | 0.375 |
| Nebraska | 0.556 | 0.333 |
| Ball State | 0.500 | 0.600 |
| Florida | 0.500 | 0.500 |
| Western Michigan | 0.500 | 0.400 |
| Nevada | 0.444 | 0.667 |
| Missouri | 0.444 | 0.571 |
| Georgia Tech | 0.444 | 0.556 |
| Washington | 0.444 | 0.556 |
| North Carolina State | 0.444 | 0.500 |
| Connecticut | 0.400 | 0.556 |
| UCLA | 0.400 | 0.100 |
| Iowa | 0.333 | 0.625 |
| Oregon State | 0.333 | 0.250 |
