formats

More Analysis of 2011 Simulation

Published on 27 August 2012, by in 2011 Season, discussion.

One of the outstanding questions about the results of the trial-run/simulation of the 2011 season was how well this thing performed against the spread.  I was able to find a source of 2011 lines, and I imported those lines so that I could compare results. Assuming I imported the data correctly, and that my database

(More)…

Comments Off.
formats

Updated 2011 Rankings

Published on 26 August 2012, by in 2011 Season, discussion.

I re-ran the full simulation to rank the 2011 teams, as I hadn’t had a chance to do this after the revamp of the code base.  Oddly enough, it likes Houston a helluvalot more. The top 25 is listed below, full rankings can be found here. Rank Team 2011 W-L Simulated Win Pct Weighted Pct

(More)…

Comments Off.
formats

Follow-up & quick analysis of 2011 simulation

Published on 25 August 2012, by in 2011 Season, discussion.

I went through and completely revamped the scripts I used to generate the rankings in the original post so I wouldn’t have to do too much by hand this upcoming season.  I found a minor error in the data I used to train my models, but I think it was mostly inconsequential. That said, I

(More)…

Comments Off.
formats

Computer Rankings via Google Prediction API

Published on 25 August 2012, by in discussion.

I originally posted this on thekeyplay.com‘s forums on August 5th.  I am re-posting it here for archival purposes. – For those that follow me on Twitter, you may have noticed where I commented that I had an idea for a computer rankings system that uses the Google Prediction API. Well, it turns out that that

(More)…

Comments Off.
Home 2012 (Page 5)